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ForumsThe TavernHow Much Time?

22 3481
TheGr8est
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TheGr8est
703 posts
Nomad

how much time will it take AG to get to 2 million users?
will we get to AG3 first?
How much people (in a percentage) are active?

  • 22 Replies
Kalb789
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Kalb789
639 posts
Baron

there are more inactive than active users more than likely

LatinxAssassin
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LatinxAssassin
614 posts
Nomad

I thought it was time itself when I look at the title, lol. Well anyways, it probably take somewhere 5 through 10 years to get 2 million active users.

samabizzle
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samabizzle
46 posts
Nomad

Ah the mysteries of life.
Let's just leave them as that, mysteries.

idontsuckthatmuch
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idontsuckthatmuch
2,261 posts
Nomad

It took us a bit more than 3 years to get to 1,000,000, but the number of people joining at a given time isn't very constant.

So I'd give it a year and a half, maybe less.

Paarfam
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Paarfam
1,558 posts
Nomad

I'm gonna say only 5% are active. Others are just banned, deactivated, never used their accounts, or flat out quite.

Paarfam
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Paarfam
1,558 posts
Nomad

or flat out quite.

*Or flat out quit.*

So I'd give it a year and a half, maybe less.

I'ma say two years.
acmed
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acmed
3,517 posts
Nomad

more are inactive, i see non ranked people and they're 300,000 out of 1,000,000. i wonder who's 1,000,000? I believe sometime during early AG3 we'll get 2,000,000

DarkGamer99
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DarkGamer99
606 posts
Nomad

That's good. Yeah I also have seen a ton of inactive people on here. It's a shame.

Ernie15
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Ernie15
13,344 posts
Bard

Since AG2 reached 1 million, it took about a month to get 100,000 more. So if people continue signing up at this rate, we should reach 2 million no later than February.

In other words, no, we will not make it before AG3 is released.

Patrick2011
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Patrick2011
12,319 posts
Treasurer

The rate might increase further, so we might reach 2 million this year. However, I think AG3 will come out first.

TheGr8est
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TheGr8est
703 posts
Nomad

Well anyways, it probably take somewhere 5 through 10 years to get 2 million active users.


im not talking active, also inactive.
vinster132
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vinster132
5,875 posts
Jester

Our average in getting user's per month is running around 100,000 so I agree with Ernie.

5 through 10 years to get 2 million active users.

It took us only 3 years to get 1,000,000 so 5 years is way too long.
indie55
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indie55
608 posts
Nomad

Usually growth is exponential.

Gantic
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Gantic
11,891 posts
King

Here's a novel idea: Why doesn't someone just chart the growth of Armor Games userbase and extrapolate from the trend of the data to find out how long might take to reah 2000000 users? Seems much more useful than conjecture.

Graham
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Graham
8,051 posts
Nomad

Or we could just take a couple of lucky guesses. I think if it took 3 years to make 1,000,000 users, it should take 1 and a half years to get to 2,000,000. Because of popularity.


Or you could crunch the numbers on HMG.

I don't care for this estimate.
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