ICBM launches are relatively easy to detect. However, growing technology to counter ICBM's has only prompted other delivery meathods. It would only be too easy to simply overwealm Chinese Missile Defenses with a multitude of ICBMs, Cruise Missiles, STS, ATS, etc. The Chinese Missile Defense simply wouldn't be able to keep up with all the threats, or which targets to protect or abandon.
If the US wanted to provoke a nuclear war, sure.
Doesn't matter how big the dog is, if it has no bite.
Their military is suited to fend off attacks by neighbouring countries. Plus, to patrol the large areas of China. Unlike the US, China shares borders with generally hostile states. Russia, Vietnam, Japan, Taiwan, Korea. Hence more manpower is neeeded
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o now China's projecting their power, what happens when the US makes their move?
The US is already projecting it's power there.
Carriers are vital to the USN's strength. However, its the same general problem faced with nuclear weapons: how to remove all chances that your opponent can retalliate. If half the USN's carriers were taken out of the picture, the Navy, and most like the American People, would become INFLAMED. They would DEMAND a retalitory strike. So China can deal with the Navies ships. What about the airforce? ICBMs? Subs? You would have to cover so much that it would be best if China never used them to begin with, to save their own skin.
I would think the US would strike first. China's 2006 published deterrence policy states that they will "uphold the principles of counterattack in self-defense and limited development of nuclear weapons", but "has never entered, and will never enter into a nuclear arms race with any country". It goes on to describe that China will never undertake a first strike, or use nuclear weapons against a non-nuclear state or zone.
An airforce would be easier to take out, seeing that you would have a much longer warning time.
Satellites: The PLA has deployed a number of space-based systems for military purposes, including the imagery intelligence satellite systems like the ZiYan series, and the militarily designated JianBing series, synthetic aperture satellites (SAR) such as JianBing-5, BeiDou satellite navigation network, and secured communication satellites with FENGHUO-1.
Anti Missile Defenses: The PLA has started the development of an anti-ballistic and anti-satellite system in the 1960s, code named Project 640, including ground based lasers, and anti-satellite missiles. On 11 January 2007 China conducted a successful test of an anti-satellite missile, with an SC-19 class KKV.
Technology: According to the Pentagon, China is currently developing kinetic-energy weapons, high-powered lasers, high-powered microwave weapons, particle-beam weapons, and electromagnetic pulse weapons with its increase of military fundings.
The Chinese Missile Defense simply wouldn't be able to keep up with all the threats, or which targets to protect or abandon.
That's also a question the US has to answer.