http://www.telegram.com/article/2011020 ⦠50330/1020
"In less than a year, NASAâs Kepler telescope has found 54 unconfirmed planets that appear to have lucked out the way Earth did, being neither too cold nor too hot to support life."
Wow that's pretty cool.
Okay found where I ran through the drake equation, I also gave life a really hard time with this one, so the actual numbers are off to be against the chances of life arising.
Using our galaxy as a base there are about 100 billion stars. Now the number of galaxies out there is estimated at around 125 billion. So let's estimate that each galaxy has around 100 billion stars each.
-That's roughly 12,500,000,000,000,000,000,000 stars. This is being very conservative as well given some estimates go as large as 400 billion just in our galaxy.
-Let's say for the sake of argument only 10% of those stars have planets. That's 1,250,000,000,000,000,000,000 planet supporting stars.
-Now let's say only 1% (likely higher) of those has a planet with the potential to support life.
That leaves us with 12,500,000,000,000,000,000 potential life baring planets.
-Now let's say there is a 1 in a million chance that the planets that has the potential does develop life. This gives us 12,500,000,000,000
-Let's really give life a hard time and say it's 1 in 10 million chance that intelligent life develops. Leaving us with 1,250,000 sentient life forms in the universe.
-Now let's say half of those managed to get at least as far if not further advanced then we are without killing themselves in the process. This leaves us with just 625,000 sentient life forms in the universe.
-Finally let's say only 1% of those 625,000 developed more advanced technology then us. This leaves 6,250 alien life forms more advanced then us, and this is being really conservative with the numbers of stars and generous with the odds.